As the WTA China Open 2026 approaches, all eyes are on the clash between Nikola Bartunkova and Aryna Sabalenka. After diving into the data, our predictions point strongly toward Sabalenka as the favorite. We’re giving her an 83% chance to win the match, and she’s also favored to take the first set with a 77% probability. Looking at the spreads, Sabalenka (-5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 20.5 total games is looking good at 58%.
Checking the latest betting odds in America, the moneyline has Sabalenka at -714 and Bartunkova at +540. For the first set, Bartunkova is at +333 and Sabalenka at -455.
When we match our probabilities against these odds, our picks stand out. For the moneyline, we like Bartunkova at +540 via DraftKings. On the first set, Sabalenka at -125 via DraftKings is our choice. Our top bet for this match? Over 20.5 total games.
The match details: It’s Nikola Bartunkova versus Aryna Sabalenka, scheduled for Saturday, October 3, 2026, at 11:00 PM ET. This is part of the WTA Beijing tournament, in the Round of 32.
Wrapping up, our prediction is that Aryna Sabalenka will likely beat Nikola Bartunkova, with an 83% win probability.
